{"id":4755,"date":"2012-06-21T08:46:32","date_gmt":"2012-06-21T06:46:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/"},"modified":"2024-06-03T20:11:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T18:11:02","slug":"izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insajder.si\/en\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/","title":{"rendered":"Izjava Bernankeja in izjemna nakupna prilo\u017enost"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

Ben Bernanke je v\u010deraj ob 18:30 uri podal izjavo za javnost glede nadaljnjih monetarnih ukrepov ameri\u0161ke centralne banke. Po pri\u010dakovanjih ve\u010dine vlagateljev se bo \u00bboperacija Twist\u00ab, s katero FED vzdr\u017euje nizke obrestne mere dolgoro\u010dnih ameri\u0161kih obveznic, nadaljevala do konca leta 2012. FED pa bo za nakupe namenil dodatnih 267 milijard dolarjev. Za tiste, ki se mogo\u010de spra\u0161ujejo kaj \u00bboperacija Twist\u00ab sploh pomeni. Gre za zamenjavo ameri\u0161kih obveznic s kratkoro\u010dno dospelostjo z nakupi ameri\u0161kih obveznic z dolgoro\u010dno dospelostjo.  <\/p>\n

FED z umetnim povpra\u0161evanjem po dolgoro\u010dnih ameri\u0161kih obveznicah tako dr\u017ei obrestne mere ameri\u0161kega zadol\u017eevanja na rekordno nizkih ravneh. To je povsem razumljivo, saj bi porast dolgoro\u010dnih obrestnih mer povzro\u010dila popoln kolaps dol\u017eni\u0161kih in hipotekarnih trgov v ZDA in po svetu.<\/p>\n

Stranski u\u010dinek tovrstne monetarne politike pomeni dodatno napihovanje balona hipotekarnega in predvsem obvezni\u0161kega trga.<\/p>\n

Predvidevamo, da FED ni \u017eelel uporabiti agresivnej\u0161ega monetarnega oro\u017eja kvantitativnega spro\u0161\u010danja, saj je politi\u010dni pritisk trenutno prevelik. Hkrati se bli\u017eajo ameri\u0161ke predsedni\u0161ke volitve. Zato oblasti verjetno \u017eelijo vsaj to poletje \u00bbmiren\u00ab dopust z nekoliko ni\u017ejimi cenami naftnih derivatov in mo\u010dnega dolarja. Na kratki rok to ustvarja \u00bbu\u010dinek bogastva\u00ab preprostega Ameri\u010dana, ki \u017ee brusi svoje kreditne kartice. Bernanke hkrati po\u0161ilja sporo\u010dilo \u010dez lu\u017eo, kolegu Draghiju (predsedniku ECB), da je na vrsti za naslednjo ve\u010dje spro\u0161\u010danje novega denarja v obtok svetovnega finan\u010dnega sistema. ECB bo morala pridobiti ali natisniti nove bilijone evrov, \u010de bo hotela zajeziti vse hitreje rasto\u010de zahtevane donosnosti dr\u017eavnih obveznic najbolj kriti\u010dnih evropskih dr\u017eav.<\/p>\n

Trenutno potekajo pogovori med vrhom EU in kanclerko Merkel o uvedbi mehanizma evro obveznic. ECB bi to zagotovilo mehanizem tiskanja evrov in kupovanja obveznic posameznih dr\u017eav, kot to po\u010dne FED v ZDA. T.i. enotna evropska fiskalna unija, bi ustvarila ZDE (Zdru\u017eene Dr\u017eave Evrope) z enotnim finan\u010dnim ministrstvom, ki bi imelo sede\u017e v Frankfurtu. V kolikor Nem\u010dija popusti in vstopi v tovrstni sistem, bo prisiljena v financiranje umetno visokega \u017eivljenjskega standarda celotnega evro obmo\u010dja, kar bi posledi\u010dno zni\u017ealo standard nem\u0161kemu ljudstvu. To bi Nem\u010dijo postavilo v podoben polo\u017eaj, kot je bila postavljena Slovenija v SFRJ.<\/p>\n

Pri Insajderju ne verjamemo, da bo Nem\u010dija popustila. Namre\u010d, v primeru kolapsa finan\u010dnega sistema in prehodu na zlati standard bi nem\u0161ka marka krita z nem\u0161kimi zlatimi rezervami in enim izmed izvozno najmo\u010dnej\u0161ih gospodarstev na svetu, lahko sestavljala jedro ko\u0161arice najmo\u010dnej\u0161ih svetovnih valut, ki bi sestavljale novo svetovno valuto. Nem\u010dija bo po na\u0161em mnenju najverjetneje nekje v prihodnosti evro zapustila in ponovno uvedla nem\u0161ko marko, kar bo najverjetneje posledica kolapsa evropskega in kasneje svetovnega monetarnega sistema.<\/p>\n

Ve\u010d o kolapsu svetovnega finan\u010dnega sistema in prehodu najmo\u010dnej\u0161ih svetovnih ekonomij nazaj na zlati standard si preberite \u00bbtukaj\u00ab<\/b><\/a><\/b>.<\/p>\n

\u010ce se vrnemo na v\u010deraj\u0161nje dogajanje. Zelo pomembno za plemenite kovine, je bil nenaden preobrat zlata in srebra po razprodaji, tik po izjavi Bernankeja, kar potrjuje, da smo najverjetneje dosegli dno med 1500-1600 $ za zlato in 27 -28$ za srebro. Prav tako je opaziti relativno mo\u010d rudarjev, saj je HUI v\u010deraj izgubil le 0,84%, medtem, ko je cena zlata padla za pribli\u017eno isti odstotek.<\/p>\n

HUI – Amex Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index<\/h6>\n

<\/p>\n

Najve\u010djo nakupno prilo\u017enost trenutno vidimo v delnicah ameri\u0161kih naftno-plinskih podjetij. Njihov potencial rasti je med 30 in 60%. Vzpon cen surove nafte WTI nazaj na 100 ameri\u0161kih dolarjev za sod\u010dek bo najverjetneje glavni razlog za tako hitro rast omenjenih podjetij. Ne gre pa odpisati ponovnega zaostrovanja razmer med Iranom in ZDA, ki lahko tako veliko rast povzro\u010di prakti\u010dno \u010dez no\u010d.<\/p>\n

Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund:<\/h6>\n

<\/p>\n

Tehni\u010dna slika grafa nafte WTI in Indeks ameri\u0161kih naftno-plinskih podjetij IEO – Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund nam dajeta jasno sliko kratkoro\u010dne podcenjenosti naftno-plinskih podjetij in nafte WTI. <\/b><\/p>\n

Nafta WTI (West Texas Intermediate):<\/h6>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ben Bernanke je v\u010deraj ob 18:30 uri podal izjavo za javnost glede nadaljnjih monetarnih ukrepov ameri\u0161ke centralne banke. Po pri\u010dakovanjih ve\u010dine vlagateljev se bo \u00bboperacija Twist\u00ab, s katero FED vzdr\u017euje nizke obrestne mere dolgoro\u010dnih ameri\u0161kih obveznic, nadaljevala do konca leta 2012. FED pa bo za nakupe namenil dodatnih 267 milijard dolarjev. Za tiste, ki se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4770,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[172,75,31,66,18],"class_list":["post-4755","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avtorski-prispevki","tag-bernanke","tag-financni-sistem","tag-nafta","tag-plemenite-kovine","tag-zlato"],"yoast_head":"\nIzjava Bernankeja in izjemna nakupna prilo\u017enost - Insajder<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stranski u\u010dinek tovrstne monetarne politike pomeni dodatno napihovanje balona hipotekarnega in predvsem obvezni\u0161kega trga.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Izjava Bernankeja in izjemna nakupna prilo\u017enost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stranski u\u010dinek tovrstne monetarne politike pomeni dodatno napihovanje balona hipotekarnega in predvsem obvezni\u0161kega trga.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Insajder\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/insajder\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-06-21T06:46:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-06-03T18:11:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/oil-gas.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"427\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ekipa Insajder\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@EkipaInsajder\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@EkipaInsajder\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ekipa Insajder\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ekipa Insajder\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/#\/schema\/person\/b90778abccff6cdecfd915e0078dc68e\"},\"headline\":\"Izjava Bernankeja in izjemna nakupna prilo\u017enost\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-06-21T06:46:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-03T18:11:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\"},\"wordCount\":701,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/oil-gas.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Bernanke\",\"finan\u010dni sistem\",\"nafta\",\"plemenite kovine\",\"zlato\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Avtorski prispevki\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/izjava-bernankeja-in-izjemna-nakupna-priloznost\/\",\"name\":\"Izjava Bernankeja in izjemna nakupna prilo\u017enost - 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