{"id":5604,"date":"2016-10-31T07:30:45","date_gmt":"2016-10-31T06:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insajder.si\/kdaj-in-kako-prodati-nalozbe-v-zlatu-srebru-in-delnicah-rudarjev\/"},"modified":"2024-06-03T20:10:30","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T18:10:30","slug":"kdaj-in-kako-prodati-nalozbe-v-zlatu-srebru-in-delnicah-rudarjev","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insajder.si\/en\/kdaj-in-kako-prodati-nalozbe-v-zlatu-srebru-in-delnicah-rudarjev\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdaj in kako prodati nalo\u017ebe v zlatu, srebru in delnicah rudarjev?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Glede na to, da smo v samem za\u010detku novega bikovskega trenda v sektorju plemenitih kovin, se ve\u010dina vlagateljev verjetno \u0161e ne spra\u0161uje kdaj bo \u010das za preusmeritev iz zlata, srebra in delnic rudarjev plemenitih kovin. In seveda, katero pot bo ubral &#8220;pametni denar&#8221;, ko bo trend kon\u010dno iz\u010drpan.<\/p>\n<p>Pri Insajderju vidimo dva mo\u017ena scenarija, v katerih lahko plemenite kovine ponovno dose\u017eejo prekomerna vrednotenja ali t.i fazo evforije. In sicer:<\/p>\n<p>1.) Ob nadaljnji rasti globalnih delni\u0161kih trgov, kjer bi ob ekstremni monetarni politiki in <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Helicopter_money\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;denarju iz helikopterja&#8221;<\/a>, kot se je neko\u010d izrazil guverner ameri\u0161ke centralne banke Ben Bernanke, globalni delni\u0161ki indeksi ob kon\u010dnem prispetju inflacije lahko podvojili trenutne vrednosti.<\/p>\n<p>2.) Ob mo\u010dni deflacijski korekciji na globalnih delni\u0161kih trgih v naslednji globalni recesiji, kjer bi centralne banke banke izgubile kontrolo nad dolo\u010danjem obrestnih mer. Izguba nadzora nad dolo\u010danjem obrestnih mer ali druga\u010de povedano, mo\u010dan dvig v obrestnih merah, bi povzro\u010dil plaz dr\u017eavnih bankrotov in poslal ameri\u0161ki dolar in zlato mo\u010dno navzgor v razmerju z trenutno mo\u010dno precenjenimi globalnimi delni\u0161kimi in predvsem obvezni\u0161kimi trgi in posameznimi market liderji (AMZN, FB, NFLX, GOOG&#8230;). V tem scenariju bi oblasti bile prisiljene uvesti globalni ban\u010dni praznik, kjer bi voditelji G20 spisali nove pravila igre in mo\u010dno devalvirali valute napram ko\u0161arici nove globalne rezervne valute.<\/p>\n<p>V obeh scenarijih torej vidimo mo\u010dno rast sektorja plemenitih kovin napram globalnim delni\u0161kim, obvezni\u0161kim in nepremi\u010dninskim trgom, katerih vrednotenja so trenutno na ekstremno visokih nivojih.<\/p>\n<p>Na spodnjih grafih smo prikazali, da bomo o umiku ali delnem umiku iz sektorja proizvajalcev zlata in srebra za\u010deli razmi\u0161ljati vsaj na med 200% &#8211; 300% vi\u0161jih nivojih v razmerju z ameri\u0161kimi delnicami, ki sestavljajo ameri\u0161ki borzni indeks S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>Bikovski trend zlata, srebra in delnic rudarjev v razmerju z globalnimi delni\u0161kimi trgi je kot lahko vidimo v samem za\u010detku, ki bi lahko dosegel zrelo fazo nekje okrog leta 2020. Trajanje in intezivnost rasti trenutnega bikovskega trenda bo seveda odvisna od mnogih dejavnikov, ki jih je trenutno nemogo\u010de napovedati, v vsakem primeru pa vidimo visoko verjetnost rasti plemenitih kovin napram ostalim nalo\u017ebenim sredstvom (delnice, nepremi\u010dnine in obveznice) v naslednjih letih.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\">Sektor rudarjev zlata in srebra v razmerju z ameri\u0161kim borznim indeksom S&amp;P 500<\/h5>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-4569\" src=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/delnice-rudarjev-sp500-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"delnice-rudarjev-sp500\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\">Zlato v razmerju z ameri\u0161kim borznim indeksom S&amp;P 500<\/h5>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-4570\" src=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/zlato-sp500-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"zlato-sp500\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\">srebro v razmerju z ameri\u0161kim borznim indeksom S&amp;P 500<\/h5>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-4571\" src=\"https:\/\/insajder.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/srebro-sp500-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"srebro-sp500\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Naslednje veliko vpra\u0161anje se glasi, kam bo \u0161el &#8220;pametni denar&#8221; in kje se bo formiral nov veliki bikovski trend po iz\u010drpanju velikega bikovskega trenda v plemenitih kovinah? Na to vpra\u0161anje bomo natan\u010dneje vedeli odgovoriti blizu konca tega bikovskega trenda, vendar sumimo, da bodo tehnolo\u0161ke delnice, ki se trenutno gibljejo na ekstremno visokih valuacijah ena izmed top izbir, vsekakor pa ne edina.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Preprosta strategija nakupa indeksnih skladov blizu najni\u017ejih vrednosti v razmerju s sektorjem plemenitih kovin bo po na\u0161em mnenju najbolj\u0161a mo\u017ena strategija.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Glede na to, da smo v samem za\u010detku novega bikovskega trenda v sektorju plemenitih kovin, se ve\u010dina vlagateljev verjetno \u0161e ne spra\u0161uje kdaj bo \u010das za preusmeritev iz zlata, srebra in delnic rudarjev plemenitih kovin. In seveda, katero pot bo ubral &#8220;pametni denar&#8221;, ko bo trend kon\u010dno iz\u010drpan. Pri Insajderju vidimo dva mo\u017ena scenarija, v&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5609,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[15,17,18],"class_list":["post-5604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avtorski-prispevki","tag-rudarji","tag-srebro","tag-zlato"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Kdaj in kako prodati nalo\u017ebe v zlatu, srebru in delnicah rudarjev?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Glede na to, da smo v samem za\u010detku novega bikovskega trenda v sektorju plemenitih kovin, se ve\u010dina vlagateljev verjetno \u0161e ne spra\u0161uje kdaj bo \u010das za\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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